The manipulation of uncertainty has always been, at its core, a tool of **control**. This control—the ability to command and coordinate groups far beyond the Dunbar number—requires more than just brute force. It demands authority, the careful orchestration of confidence and fear, and the construction of narratives that justify legitimacy. But beneath all these mechanisms lies something even more elusive, something almost mystical: the idea of **sovereignty**.
Philologist Georges Dumézil observed that in European and Central Asian traditions, sovereignty manifests through a mythological duality: the magician-king and the jurist-priest. Varuna and Mitra. Týr and Odin. Minerva and Jupiter. These archetypes do not merely rule; they reconfigure the structural arrangements of values, categories, and ideas to establish **hierarchy**—Greek for *rule of the priest*. Hierarchy does not emerge from brute force alone; it is conjured through symbols, narratives, and beliefs that shape perception itself. In this sense, it functions much like magic, crafting an illusion so pervasive that it feels real. Martin Gurri captures this dynamic in *The Revolt of the Public*:
> _“Authority, as I use the term, flows from legitimacy, derived from monopoly. To some indeterminate degree, the public must trust and heed authority, or it is no authority at all. An important social function of authority is to deliver certainty in an uncertain world. It explains reality in the context of the shared story of the group. For this it must rely on persuasion rather than compulsion, since naked force is a destroyer of trust and faith. (...) Like money and marriage, legitimacy exists objectively because vast numbers of the public agree, subjectively, that it does exist. If enough people change their minds, the authorizing magic is lost.”_[^1]
Historically, control was often exercised in a top-down manner, upheld by force when necessary. But this was never the sole method. Many societies functioned without centralised authority [^2], proving that violence is not the root of power—**legitimacy** is. That is why rulers have cloaked themselves in grandeur, enshrined themselves in symbols, and hidden behind layers of secrecy. **Glory** is the mark of one who has supposedly conquered uncertainty. **Symbolism** makes visible the otherwise intangible quality of legitimacy. **Secrecy** restricts access to counter-narratives that might erode trust.
Here we encounter a paradox: information, which fosters clarity and knowledge, is also the great **corrosive** of authority. Throughout history, those who controlled knowledge controlled the perception of legitimacy. Monks, mandarins, scribes, eunuchs, and satraps ensured that information was not freely accessible but carefully curated, reinforcing official narratives while suppressing dissenting voices. This monopoly on information reinforced social order, but in the modern digital age—where data flows freely and unfiltered—this traditional structure of control is crumbling. The ability to manufacture certainty is being undermined, replaced by an unrelenting flood of competing narratives.
Anyone in a position of authority should, in theory, acknowledge, understand, and learn to navigate uncertainty. But here lies the tension—embracing uncertainty contradicts one of the most highly valued traits among decision-makers: ***confidence***. Across history, rulers, advisors, and experts have all relied on the same sleight-of-hand, the same well-practiced trick: the power to impose certainty. This, of course, is an illusion. But it is an illusion we crave. Like moths to a flame, we are drawn to those who project unwavering assurance, those who promise clarity in the face of the unknown. [^3]
This illusion serves a dual purpose. It fortifies the position of the ruler, lending legitimacy to their rule. But it also serves the ruled, soothing the innate human anxiety about the unpredictable nature of existence. Here lies the dirty secret of authority: even when it is imposed by force, there is often a tacit acceptance by those subjected to it. The comfort of certainty, even if artificial, is seductive. People may resent control, but they also cling to the predictability it provides. At its root, control over social hierarchy is achieved by exploiting our collective fear of uncertainty and constructing a veneer of order. This illusion stabilises social systems by slowing change and dampening volatility.
In the end, the fundamental function of hierarchy, command, and control is not just to coordinate action—it is to obscure uncertainty. It is a grand deception, a collective attempt to freeze time, to impose permanence on an ever-shifting reality. This drive for **uncertainty reduction** stems from a deep-seated desire to cast the world into a fixed form, to make it *hold still*. Only when the world stops moving—when it is rendered inert and lifeless—can it fully conform to our models, maps, and equations. But in attempting to do so, we risk mistaking our abstractions for reality itself. And reality, in all its chaotic vitality, refuses to be pinned down.
[[Elmyra Duff|Next page]]
<hr>
[^1]: Gurri, M. (2018). The revolt of the public and the crisis of authority in the New Millennium. Stripe Press.
[^2]: Graeber, D. (2021). The Dawn of Everything: A New History of Humanity
[^3]: Weber, M., & Roth. (1997). The theory of social and economic organization. Free Press.