>*The quest for certainty blocks the search for meaning. Uncertainty is the very condition to impel man to unfold his powers.*
>
>Erich Fromm, *Having and Being*
This book is about getting a firm grip—an optimal grip—on something that tends to slip through our fingers: **uncertainty**. Thinking about it can feel like tracking an elusive beast—just when you think you’ve pinned it down, it dissolves into mist, leaving you grasping at ambiguity. For centuries, uncertainty lingered in the background, largely ignored, until it suddenly wasn’t. Over the last hundred years, it has gone from an afterthought to a topic of fierce scrutiny across fields as varied as machine learning, economics, psychology, neuroscience, particle physics, and even management consulting (where uncertainty is less a subject of study than a business model).
Despite its rising prominence, uncertainty remains a **fractured concept**. Each discipline has its own take on what it is and how to deal with it. There’s no common language, no shared foundation. To borrow Thomas Kuhn’s phrase, we’re dealing with a cluster of competing paradigms—separate schools of thought that have yet to merge into a coherent understanding. The result? A patchwork of definitions, useful in their own ways but incomplete as a whole. That’s where this book comes in. Its aim is simple but ambitious: to build a more unified framework for understanding uncertainty, to give it shape, texture, and form—something we can actually work with.
This is, in a way, my attempt to map out the contours of uncertainty’s vast and varied landscape. To sketch its geography and mark its defining features. And my first realization? **Uncertainty is everywhere**. It touches every part of life, business, and science. It fuels anxiety, derails decisions, moves markets, and shifts geopolitical balances. And yet, despite all this, we’ve been surprisingly slow to take it seriously.
One reason for this is that we simply lacked the right **intellectual tools**. That’s only recently begun to change. If we truly want to grasp uncertainty, we need ideas from thermodynamics, evolutionary epistemology, cognitive science, and complexity theory—an ensemble of disciplines that has only matured in the last few decades. These fields have already transformed the way we think about life, consciousness, and the cosmos. It’s time we apply them to uncertainty itself.
So, welcome to the **Uncertain Universe**—a space for seekers rather than finders, for those drawn to the edges of knowledge, for voyagers who feel oddly at home in the unknown. If you’ve ever been homesick for a place that never existed, you’re in the right place, or in the words of Timothy Morton:
> *Come on in, the water’s lovely, which is to say, it’s cold and dark and mysterious and spooky.* [^1]
[[Why you should read this book|Next page]]
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[^1]: Morton, T. (2017). _Humankind_ [Kindle Android version]. Retrieved from [Amazon.com](http://amazon.com/)